India and Bangladesh share more than just a 4,096-kilometer-long border; they share historical ties, cultural affinities, and a legacy of cooperation that dates back to the Bangladesh Liberation War of 1971. However, despite these deep connections, the relationship between the two countries has experienced fluctuations, particularly in recent years. With regional dynamics rapidly changing and global power structures evolving, it is imperative that India revisits its foreign policy to strengthen and improve relations with its eastern neighbor, Bangladesh.
Historical Context and Recent Developments
India played a crucial role in the creation of Bangladesh in 1971, providing military, diplomatic, and humanitarian support to the Bengali nationalist forces. This established a strong foundation for bilateral relations, with India being one of the first countries to recognize Bangladesh as an independent state. Over the decades, the relationship has seen significant cooperation in areas such as trade, security, water sharing, and cultural exchanges.
However, recent years have witnessed growing tensions and irritants in the relationship. Border conflicts, issues related to the sharing of river waters (especially the Teesta River), and concerns over the treatment of minorities in both countries have strained ties. Additionally, the growing influence of China in Bangladesh, with significant investments in infrastructure and economic sectors, has raised alarms in New Delhi, prompting India to reconsider its approach towards Dhaka.
Current Situation: A Mixed Bag
The current relationship between India and Bangladesh can be described as a mixed bag. On one hand, economic ties remain robust, with bilateral trade reaching record highs. India has extended several lines of credit to Bangladesh, and Indian companies have invested in sectors such as energy, pharmaceuticals, and textiles. Furthermore, security cooperation has been strengthened, with both countries collaborating to combat terrorism, insurgency, and cross-border crimes.
On the other hand, there are growing concerns in Bangladesh regarding India’s perceived high-handedness in bilateral matters. The Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) and the National Register of Citizens (NRC) in India have caused anxiety in Bangladesh, with fears that they could lead to an influx of refugees. Moreover, the delay in finalizing the Teesta water-sharing agreement has been a major point of contention, with Bangladesh feeling that India is not honoring its commitments.
The rise of China as a significant player in South Asia has further complicated the situation. Bangladesh has increasingly turned to China for economic assistance and infrastructure development, leading to concerns in India about losing its influence in the region. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has found a willing partner in Bangladesh, with significant investments in ports, power plants, and road networks. This has led to a perception in India that it is being outmaneuvered by China in its own backyard.
The Need for a Policy Recalibration
In light of these developments, it is crucial for India to recalibrate its foreign policy towards Bangladesh. The following steps could serve as a foundation for improving bilateral relations:
Prioritizing Bilateral Dialogue: India needs to prioritize open and continuous dialogue with Bangladesh to address contentious issues. Regular high-level meetings and diplomatic engagements should focus on resolving the Teesta water-sharing dispute and ensuring that concerns related to the CAA and NRC are addressed. Diplomatic channels must be used to reassure Bangladesh that India is committed to a relationship based on mutual respect and equality.
Strengthening Economic Ties: While economic relations are strong, there is room for further improvement. India should explore new avenues for investment in Bangladesh, particularly in sectors such as technology, education, and healthcare. Additionally, reducing non-tariff barriers and facilitating easier trade routes could significantly boost bilateral trade.
Enhancing Security Cooperation: Given the shared security challenges in the region, India and Bangladesh should continue to strengthen their cooperation in combating terrorism, human trafficking, and drug smuggling. Joint exercises, intelligence sharing, and capacity building in the security sector could further cement the relationship.
Addressing Water Sharing Issues: The Teesta water-sharing agreement remains a major sticking point. India must demonstrate a sincere commitment to resolving this issue, possibly by proposing a temporary arrangement while a long-term solution is negotiated. Additionally, India should work towards greater cooperation in managing shared river basins, promoting sustainable water usage, and addressing environmental concerns.
Countering China’s Influence: To counter China’s growing influence in Bangladesh, India must offer competitive alternatives in terms of infrastructure development, financial assistance, and trade opportunities. Collaborating on regional connectivity projects, such as the BBIN (Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal) initiative, could provide a viable counterweight to Chinese investments.
Promoting People-to-People Ties: Strengthening cultural, educational, and tourism exchanges between the two countries can help build stronger people-to-people ties. Visa processes should be streamlined to encourage more travel between the two nations, and academic collaborations should be promoted to foster mutual understanding.
Respecting Sovereignty and Mutual Interests: It is crucial for India to approach its relationship with Bangladesh with a sense of humility and respect for Bangladesh’s sovereignty. Bangladesh is no longer the fledgling state it was in 1971; it is now a rapidly growing economy with its own aspirations and foreign policy goals. India must recognize and respect this evolution, ensuring that its actions do not come across as patronizing or overbearing.
Conclusion India’s relationship with Bangladesh is at a crossroads. While there is much to be optimistic about, there are also significant challenges that need to be addressed. By revisiting and recalibrating its foreign policy, India can not only strengthen its ties with Bangladesh but also ensure that it remains a key player in the rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape of South Asia. A strong, stable, and cooperative relationship with Bangladesh is not just in India’s interest but is essential for regional peace, stability, and prosperity.